The full YouGov poll has been released and it is very revealing indeed:
- UKIP is on 15% in the European Elections when all voters are taken into consideration. However, when only those certain to vote in the European Elections are taken into account, UKIP joins Labour and the Liberal Democrats on 19% in a three-way tie for second place. The second figure is likely to be more accurate going off of past polling data and corresponding results.
- The party is polling 22% in the South, 16% in the North, 13% in the Midlands/Wales, 10% in London and 4% in Scotland.
- UKIP lacks support from younger voters, with highly disproportionate support from the 55+ age group. Only 5% of those in the 18 - 34 age group intend to vote UKIP, with 16% of 35 to 54’s but a massive 23% of those aged 55 and over.
- In the context of intended support at a General Election, UKIP is polling 6% nationally among all voters. The party’s two strongest areas are in the South on 8%, followed closely by 7% in the North.
- The BNP are in big trouble, polling just 3% in the North where Nick Griffin is standing.
- Libertas are going to be a non-factor and are on 0%.
The party is polling very strongly given that UKIP’s support tends to increase greatly in the last week or so of the campaign. The sky seems to be the limit. An improvement on the party’s 2004 showing must now be expected if these figures are backed up by one or two other opinion polls.
Comment: To quote a well known phrase - Things Can Only Get Better!